Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 11.938080 13.724111 15.637377 17.833771 20.279676 22.913881 25.959441
2025-07-20 9.567605 11.988597 14.763517 18.157560 22.173654 26.750430 32.335329
2025-07-27 8.047941 10.777217 14.070631 18.293185 23.514909 29.709813 37.559480
2025-08-03 6.695910 9.515814 13.076958 17.833354 23.940628 31.434737 41.231124
2025-08-10 5.696704 8.546702 12.296651 17.490338 24.381890 33.087875 44.774346
2025-08-17 4.884216 7.712901 11.580556 17.119533 24.692189 34.511744 48.007428
2025-08-24 4.230741 7.015465 10.963717 16.797147 24.994608 35.879916 51.161475
2025-08-31 3.626196 6.313505 10.262860 16.278129 24.958121 36.748442 53.636371
2025-09-07 3.274497 5.952804 10.014910 16.367249 25.744330 38.729193 57.645676
2025-09-14 2.951838 5.599134 9.739526 16.381104 26.400242 40.529502 61.443416
2025-09-21 2.707298 5.344646 9.589475 16.560346 27.287015 42.666392 65.759671
2025-09-28 2.449253 5.037131 9.325439 16.535893 27.852767 44.345955 69.463359
2025-10-05 2.294981 4.899277 9.330057 16.939305 29.093729 47.065078 74.774186
2025-10-12 2.137770 4.738491 9.281390 17.248393 30.195918 49.611688 79.909750
2025-10-19 1.966598 4.531297 9.133726 17.378353 31.011688 51.745769 84.489680
2025-10-26 1.726356 4.160791 8.667238 16.937688 30.884698 52.433714 86.921213
2025-11-02 1.529879 3.853019 8.284770 16.609024 30.910907 53.340169 89.688099
2025-11-09 1.352120 3.561011 7.904472 16.253787 30.865530 54.118671 92.264701
2025-11-16 1.199728 3.303366 7.565322 15.944982 30.873696 54.967970 94.958093
2025-11-23 1.043716 3.015585 7.140689 15.447922 30.527990 55.227270 96.722397
2025-11-30 0.963496 2.893358 7.034686 15.533264 31.188366 57.123863 101.106385
2025-12-07 0.883672 2.761272 6.896632 15.546532 31.716977 58.814021 105.197826
2025-12-14 0.824861 2.673676 6.843631 15.718186 32.530345 60.992643 110.121648